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Tag Archives: American Jobs Act

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You’ve probably never heard of Lincoln Beachey.

An aviation pioneer, Beachey flew at the beginning of the 20th century. During one of his first air exhibitions, Beachey did something totally terrifying when his plane stalled. The opposite of what anyone had ever done before, he counterintuitively turned his plane into the spin and pointed its nose downwards. Reversing a deadly nosedive, he landed safely.

Hearing about Lincoln Beachey on a Radio Lab podcast, I thought of February 2009. With the economy nosediving, the President proposed and the Congress approved a massive injection of stimulus money. A seemingly logical maneuver, it appears not to have had the impact that many of us expected.

Are we responding like Lincoln Beachey’s predecessors who turned away from the spin and pointed their noses upward? Or does the intuitive response work and we just need more?

The Economic Lesson

One group of economists describes the American Jobs Act as the additional stimulus we need. Seeing the money directed toward job creation, infrastructure projects and payroll tax cuts, a second group of economists says it is a repeat of the failed 2009 stimulus program.

As with Lincoln Beachey, we seem to have a group that believes the logical sounding Keynesian approach will work and a second group saying, if we look more closely and think like Friedrich Hayek, we would see it is profoundly flawed.  You might enjoy looking at the Keynes/Hayek rap debates here.

An Economic Question: Is your bias toward more or less government economic intervention. Explain.

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The Congress and the Fiscal Cliff

Maybe everyone got something from President Obama’s jobs plan. According to the Washington Post’s Ezra Klein, the “right” got tax cuts, the “left” got help for the unemployed and infrastructure spending, and everyone will get deficit reduction. For a quick summary, this graphic is ideal.

On the other hand, each side might believe it did not get enough.

Representing a left of center view, here is what Paul Krugman has been saying:

  • With residential construction plunging and consumer saving soaring, there has been a massive decline in spending. So far, the amount spent by the federal government has insufficiently compensated for the decrease.

Dr. Krugman’s conclusion? The stimulus “wasn’t big enough to do the job.”

For the right of center perspective, Stanford economist John Taylor said this during his congressional testimony on the 2009 stimulus package:

  • Referring to federal government purchases of goods and services, he said it had a minimal impact on GDP because a “tiny slice” of dollars were allocated to federal direct spending.
  • For the grants that states and local governments got, they mainly used the money they got to reduce their borrowing rather than spend it on GDP related goods and services.
  • Similarly, payments and tax benefits targeted for increasing households’ disposable personal income were not reflected by expenditure statistics.

Dr. Taylor’s conclusion? “Increased debt…is likely a drag on economic growth.”

The Economic Lesson

People who agree with Dr. Krugman believe, as did John Maynard Keynes, that government can jumpstart the economy

Those who support Dr. Taylor’s view would take us to Adam Smith, Friedrich Hayek, and Milton Friedman who said that government inhibits individual productivity and initiative.

An Economic Question: Do you believe that government is the solution or the problem? Explain.

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