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Tag Archives: Australia

Self-interest represents the seeds that blossom into economic growth.

Yesterday, the UN published a preview of its world economic outlook. While projections are always debatable, their graphs provide a snapshot of key economic issues.

GDP Outlook:

Slow GDP Growth for 2013

Oil Prices:

Less World Demand Might Depress Oil Price

Grain Prices:

 

World Grain Prices DipThese projections and comments from a Société Générale Report also are helpful. Most enlightening, perhaps, is the potential drag on the world economy from the euro zone.

Euro Zone Drag on World Economic Growth

Sources and Resources: Société Générale data is from Business Insider while the preview of the UN Report is here. For a summary, this NY Times article discusses its dismal outlook.

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Unless We Look More Closely at Women in the Global Labor Force, We See Only the Tip of the Iceberg.

Name a nation.

No matter which country you choose, you probably would see that women are underemployed. And still then, you would be looking only at the tip of the iceberg. Female labor force underutilization relates to a host of facts about a society that the consulting firm, Booz & Co. compiled in a recent report. Although I was not entirely convinced that all of their variables were quantifiable, I was quite comfortable with their basic premise. The world will be much better off when the one billion or so women that will enter the global economy during the next decade are appropriately empowered.

To assess female empowerment in 128 countries, Booz & Co. used input and output variables to create a Third Billion Index. Input scores involved components like female literacy, access to credit, laws about job opportunities; output numbers included male/female pay equity, the glass ceiling in business and in government, the types of jobs women occupy. Shown by their diagram below, based on the Index rank, Booz also grouped countries to display, for example, who was, “On the Path to Success,” or “At the Starting Gate.”

Crucially, the Booz report points out that the positive externalities of empowering women ripple far beyond the GDP. For example, women with income tend to invest more in their children. As a result, the impact on future generations is geometric.

Their conclusions? The top ranked countries are Australia, Norway, Sweden, Finland, New Zealand. The US is #30.

Sources and Resources: The Booz & Co. report, titled “Empowering the Third Billion: Women and the World of Work 2012,” is thought-provoking and, in some ways, surprising. I recommend that you take a look at it. For a much briefer summary, here is an Economist article and the source of my GDP graph below.

Empowering Women Adds to a Nation's GDP

Comparing How Countries Empower Women

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The Surprising Glass Ceiling in Sweden and France

Italy has just declared its “pink quota.”

A new law mandates that by 2015, women should be one-third of all board members for listed and Italian state-owned firms. Currently, the total is somewhere between 3.7 and 6%. (Checking 2 sources, I found different statistics.)

Looking at how Australia and France have raised female board presence, which approach do you favor? Here are some facts:

Australia:

  • Legislative incentives.
  • Mandated diversity policy reporting.
  • Female board membership up by 5.3% from 2009-2011.
  • Currently at 13.8%.
  • A formal mentoring program is bringing female candidates to boards’ attention.

 

France:

  • Legislative fiat.
  • Female board membership has skyrocketed by 7.5% from 2009-2011.
  • Currently at 16.6%.
  • Mandated to rise to 40% by 2016.

 

Here are some interesting statistics from Catalyst, a group that gathers information about women:

Women on the Board (countries at the top of a 44 country list):

Country % Board Seats Held By Women
Norway 40.1
Sweden 27.3
Finland 24.5
United States 16.1

 

Women on the Board (countries at the bottom a 44 country list):

Country % Board Seats Held By Women
Japan 0.9
United Arab Emirates 0.8
Qatar 0.3
Saudi Arabia 0.1

A note: On the 44 country list, at #34, Italy is close to the bottom.

At first, I learned about Italy’s “pink quota” in a WSJ article. Here though, is the best report I accessed about women on corporate boards and the source of some statistics while the others came from Catalyst, a research organization that focuses on women. For further discussion on occupational and wage gender gaps, you could go to these econlife posts here and here.

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Have you ever worried that you gave someone the wrong bill–maybe a ten rather than a dollar? With US currency, it is easy to make a mistake. After all, the US dollar bill, the five, the ten, the twenty, the fifty, the one hundred are mostly green, 6″ x 2 /2″, and they all have the Secretary of the Treasury’s signature.

Using Australian currency as an example, one expert suggests that varied size, different colors, user friendliness and durability are the basics of good currency design. With Australian currency, if you move up the currency ladder, from dollars to fives to tens, the notes get larger, maybe a centimeter each time.  In your pocket, you can feel the size of your bills and know what you have. Colorful, the 5 dollar note is sort of lavender, the 10, bluish, 20 is orangy (sometimes called a lobster), 50 is green and yellow (occasionally referred to as the piney because of its pineapple resemblance). Instead of some linen and cotton, the Australians use a plastic-like polymer that lasts 4 times longer.

Being so used to US currency, I wonder if we forget that it is dysfunctional. Or does it not matter because soon we won’t be using paper currency at all?

A wonderful podcast, 99% Invisible was my original currency design source. But for more, this NY TImes discussion from Richard Smith, perfectly describes why we need a newly designed currency and the site, “Room For Debate” looks at other coin and currency issues like the future of the penny and becoming cashless.

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99, 26 or somewhere in between?

At the end of February, Congress again will have to decide about the length of unemployment insurance (UI) Described by the state of California to its residents, 99 remains the maximum number of weeks for receiving UI. Had Congress not acted during December, the benefit period would have reverted to 26 weeks.

How to decide what to support? Here are 4 possibilities:

  1. Assess cost: UI is a program that is paid for by state trust funds that receive federal/state taxes. According to this GAP report, a majority of the states (map, p.10) had relatively weak trust funds that needed loans from the federal government. As of the end of 2009, no state had enough to cover 12 months of benefits.
  2. Compare duration with other countries: Explained by University of Chicago Professor Casey B. Mulligan with a 2005 graph, the U.S. provided benefits for a relatively short time. Looking at OECD countries, the 3 at the top, Australia, New Zealand and Belgium, offered unending benefits to those who qualified. At the bottom were Italy, the U.K. and last, the U.S (6 months). 
  3. Compare duration with other recessions: Using 92 weeks as the maximum, Dr. Mulligan displays a spike in Nov. 2011 and Dec 2009. Next were Dec. 2008 and Feb. 1992 with federally mandated benefits lasting close to 72 weeks. After that, Mar. 2002 and Apr. 1975 are at 66 weeks or so.
  4. Consider incentives: People who support longer lasting benefits say that when the money is spent, it stimulates the economy. Those for a shorter time period believe that benefits are a job search disincentive.

The Economic Lesson

Perhaps we should ask if unemployment is cyclical or structural. Cyclical unemployment subsides when the business cycle returns to prosperity. By contrast, structural unemployment will not go away because it reflects a changing economy that has eliminated “outdated” skills and noncompetitive industries.

An Economic Question: How might your opinion about the duration of unemployment benefits relate to whether joblessness is cyclical or structural?

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