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Tag Archives: Case Shiller

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We have a double dip in U.S. housing prices. But, is it happening everywhere? A Goldman Sachs research report from mid-May provided an OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) summary.

  1. The most troubled: Struggling euro zone countries remain the most distressed. Housing prices in Ireland, Spain, Greece, the Netherlands and Italy have continued to slide.
  2. Moderately declining: The U.S. falls into this category as well as Denmark, Korea, and many euro-area countries.
  3. Rebounding: Canada, Norway, and Australia have experienced double digit increases. Less robust but still rebounding, housing prices in France, Germany, and New Zealand have been going up.
  4. Steadily rising: There actually were countries that sidestepped the housing bubble cataclysm. Switzerland and Belgium have not seen any meaningful drop in prices and now, they continue to rise.

The Economic Lesson

How might a supply and demand graph illustrate the U.S. moderate decline in the housing market? The key is our equilibrium price, the point where the demand and supply curves meet.

What is making this point move downward? Is it a shift in the demand curve because government policy is no longer fueling demand? Or, is it the supply curve sliding downward because of an ever increasing number of houses that people offer to sell each time prices appear to rise?

An Economic Question: Using this Washington Post graphic of housing prices in 12 cities, create your own story of how the housing bubble popped in different places.

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In an interesting Politico opinion column, journalist Michael Kinsley wonders why everyone seems to assume that climbing home prices are good. He points out that most people are happy when the prices of essentials like gas go down. So why the opposite for homes? 

After all, the young couple first buying a home wants a low price. The family that is trading up might not want their new home to be priced higher. Only, he says, the retiring couple that intends to downsize or leave the market entirely clearly benefits from higher prices.

Yes, he admits he is oversimplifying. Still, he asks why the media uses pejorative terms for declining prices and affirming adjectives and verbs for rising prices.

Your opinion?

The Economic Lesson

Certain economists might say that the market is the solution and that prices have to fall until the demand side of the market has enough to buy. Other economists, worried about foreclosures, diminished perceptions of wealth, and higher home prices fueling economic recovery believe that government should subsidize the housing market and/or keep mortgage rates low.

You can go to an excellent S&P/Case-Shiller graph here to see where home prices have gone between 1988 and 2010.

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