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Tag Archives: demand elasticity

Is It Better to Outsource or Insource T-shirts?

The Bangladesh building collapse tragedy led me to 3 types of news articles. I wonder what the impact is when you combine them. Please let me know your opinion.

1. Suppliers: Low Cost

  • The cost attraction of Bangladesh has been tough to resist. At $40 a month, the average Bangladesh worker gets one-quarter of the Chinese entry level wage. Add to that an EU loophole that eliminated duties on imports from Bangladesh and the incentive to produce there multiplied.
  • You can see why Benetton, facing price competition from H&M and Zara, started using factories in Bangladesh. Even when they placed an order with an Indian contractor, he did some of the manufacturing in Bangladesh. In a 2012 report, McKinsey called Bangladesh the “next hot spot” for manufacturing.
  • Now, responding to the outcry, firms are saying they will not use their Bangladesh facilities. However, in an NPR interview, a worker advocate in Bangladesh emphasized that she did not want jobs to leave her country. Her people needed the work.

2. Consumers: Low Prices

  • Bangladesh is one reason shoppers believe there is a $5 t-shirt and a $6 bikini waiting for them. Commenting on the tragedy in Bangladesh, one Primark London shopper said, “They definitely need to improve, but I’ll still shop here. It’s so cheap.”  Another shopper, also at Primark, said, “If prices went up I wouldn’t buy from here.”

3. Fair Trade Labels: New Incentives

  • Researchers from Harvard and MIT concluded that even at outlet stores where they expect affordability, certain consumers are willing to pay more for ethically made clothing. Using data from 111 Banana Republic stores, researchers chose 3 products: A $130 woman’s linen suit, a $12 men’s T-shirt, $18 yoga pants. Buyers of the linen suit were willing to pay $18 more for a fair labor standards label. However, people purchasing the cheaper items were not influenced by elevated labor standards.
  • I suspect here, we are looking at price elasticity of demand. With higher prices leading  to considerably fewer purchases, the demand is elastic for lower priced items. On the other hand, people purchasing a more expensive item demonstrate more inelasticity. For them, a relatively substantial price hike does not affect buying behavior.

So…

We have cheap production costs, low retail prices and burgeoning ethical incentives. How will supply and demand respond?

The World's Leading Clothing Exporters from WSJ.com

The World’s Leading Clothing Exporters from WSJ.com

Sources and Resources: Each of my articles ideally conveyed the incentives to which producers and consumers are responding. Bloomberg (quotes source) and the WSJ (graph source, above), here and here, conveyed the cost incentives while the NY Times optimistically (and perhaps unrealistically) presented a burgeoning response to fair trade publicity. You might want to ground all the news articles with these two studies that display for Banana Republic and fair trade coffee what we really buy rather than what we say.

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Marijuana legalization is about demand, supply, market structure and cost benefit analysis.

On November 6, Colorado voters resoundingly agreed that recreational use of marijuana would become legal. However, as Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper said, “…federal law still says marijuana is an illegal drug so don’t break out the Cheetos or goldfish too quickly.”

Colorado does already have a medical marijuana industry. With hundreds of dispensaries in the state, an entire industry has blossomed that creates jobs and feeds municipal coffers considerable tax revenue. Near Denver, marijuana is grown in a million square feet of warehouse space while firms like Dixie Elixirs & Edibles produce products that include marijuana infused fizzy drinks and truffles.

So imagine, similar to micro-brewed beer, having legal recreational marijuana will mean different brands of cannabis as well as an array of branded marijuana products ranging from hot dogs to olive oil on store shelves. Moving from medical to personal use will just expand the marijuana industry’s economic impact.

Others, though, are quick to point out the downside. When firms grow, large profits will depend on heavy users. Meanwhile, as this Huffington Post headline reminds us, “Marijuana Users Feel Less Dedicated to Work, Shocking Report Finds.” Essentially, in addition to cigarettes and alcohol, we would be establishing a third legal “vice industry.”

Our bottom line? Legalizing marijuana will probably increase demand while our price elasticity will determine our response to the price change. On the supply side, a competitive market structure will evolve that starts as monopolistic competition and then becomes oligopolistic as firms grow.

A Final Fact: It is currently tough to borrow money from a bank to expand a marijuana related business because of the federal/state conflict. For example, how will the IRS respond?

Sources and Resources: With transcript and audio, this Terry Gross NPR Fresh Air segment provides a perfect summary of the issues surrounding recreational marijuana legalization. Then, this 60 minutes segment shows the warehouses, the people, the products. To read about the 25-year marijuana study, here is the Huffington Post article.

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After Hurricane Sandy, there were gasoline shortages.

Is it $4.11?

Although gasoline prices are rising, consumers have not altered their driving habits. Economist James Hamilton suggests that the tipping point tends to be when prices exceed the highest point during the past 3 years. That number is $4.11 or $4.27 if we account for inflation.

Currently, the average price per gallon of regular in the U.S. is $3.72 while Wyoming has the cheapest gas at $3.16 and California has the most expensive at $4.33.

Looking beyond our borders, though, $4.33 can seem pretty low.  For these countries, fuel taxes elevated prices. (March 2011 data)

  • U.S.: $3.59
  • Istanbul, Turkey: $9.63
  • Oslo, Norway: $9.27
  • Athens, Greece: $8.50
  • Amsterdam, Netherlands: $8.01

 

On the other hand, subsidies can make the price per gallon of gasoline pretty low:

  • Caracas, Venezuela: $.06
  • Riyadh, Saudi Arabia: $.45
  • Doha, Qatar, $.88

For 170 countries, these graphs are ideal except that the data is for 2010.

Finally, where are we historically? Going way back to 1919 when the price of gas was close to 25 cents–the equivalent today of $3.35–this graph provides a fascinating picture of where gas prices have been. At all time highs now, real prices were slightly lower when they peaked during 1981 and 2008.

The Economic Lesson

Observing the impact of gasoline price swings on consumer purchases, economists cite our elasticity. If price changes a lot and the quantity we buy remains almost the same, as with medication, then our demand is inelastic. By contrast, if price changes have a big impact on buying, then our response is elastic.

An Economic Question: If, at $4.11 per gallon, we start to buy a lot less gasoline, then how might you use elasticity to describe the change in our buying decisions?

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Does $2.22 sound very different from $2.33? The answer is yes. In a soon-to-be-released study by Keith Coulter of Clark University and Robin Coulter of the University of Connecticut in The Journal of Consumer Research, research indicates that shoppers expect a much better deal when the price is $2.33.
In one experiment, people were told an original price and a sale price and later asked which sale price represented the bigger discount. Ignoring the math, people instead appeared to go by the sound of the sale price. Because $2.22 sounded

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In today’s Notes post, the link is to Dear Economist, written by Tim Harford for the Financial Times. Using economic ideas to provide answers about love and life, he proves that economics is about so much more than money. Opportunity cost can provide an answer to a study time dilemma, our demand elasticity will influence whether we purchase a sale item, and marginal utility can help us with diets and significant others. And this is only the beginning.

http://timharford.com/articles/deareconomist/

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