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Tag Archives: electricity

texting is 20 years old

Only 3 years ago in sub-Saharan Africa, more than two-thirds of all roads were unpaved, three-quarters of the population was without electricity, and there were 3 landline phones per 100 people.

Enter the cell phone.

As of 2010, in low and middle income economies, an average of 72 of every 100 people had a mobile phone subscription. In a 2010 article, economists Jenny Aker and Isaac Mbiti present wonderful examples of how cell phones can transform life. ”In Ghana, farmers in Tamale are able to send a text message to learn corn and tomato prices in Accra, over 400 kilometers away. In Niger, day laborers are able to call acquaintances in Benin to find out about job opportunities without making the US$40 trip. In Malawi, those affected by HIV and AIDS can receive text messages daily, reminding them to take their medicines on schedule.” (p. 207)

More generally, the impact of widespread mobile phone use could include:

  • increasing market efficiency
  • improving supply chain oversight
  • creating new jobs
  • reducing risk exposure through more communication
  • delivering necessary services (health, finance, education)

 

Still though, Aker and Mbiti conclude that we cannot be sure of the mobile phone’s impact. By contrast, development economist Jeffrey Sachs suggests that it will be a transformative technology.

Rewinding for a moment to the US economy, I keep thinking of our development sequence. Moving from the first 17th and 18th century roads to 19th century canals and railroads, by 1900, the US had a transportation infrastructure. Add to that the telegraph, telephone and spread of electricity. And now, mobile phones.

Today, instead, leapfrogging older communications technology,  will the mobile phone stimulate sub-Saharan economic development?

A Final Fact: During the week of March 1, 2012, China reached its 1 billionth mobile phone subscription. The Economist says China’s numbering system can generate 100 billion phone numbers.

Sources and Resources: The 2010 Aker/Mbiti article and the 2012 World Bank report provided my information on mobile phones through a wealth of ideas and detail. This Economist Daily Chart comparing mobile phones in China, India and the US is also interesting.

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When will we run out of oil? A room full of pistachios might have the answer.

In the first several pages of The Invisible Heart: An Economic Romance, a teacher says you have been given a room filled 5 feet high with pistachio nuts. The nuts are free, you are a nut lover, and you have only one rule to follow. The empty shells have to remain in the room. At first, you dive in. Eventually though, you are searching for uneaten nuts through mounds of empty shells. Finally, you stop looking. Why? It costs you too much time, energy, effort. It is “cheaper” to switch to cashews.

Reading “Could Shale Gas Ignite the U.S. Economy” reminded me of pistachio nuts. The U.S. currently gets almost half of its electricity from coal, one-quarter from natural gas, one-fifth from nuclear, and the rest from hydro and wind. Saying, “The United States has the capacity to become the Saudi Arabia of natural gas,” the CEO of an energy company explains why shale rock could represent the future of electricity and “reduced oil dependence for transportation.”

This takes us to George Mitchell, the son of an immigrant Greek goat herder and the “kitchen” in which hydrocarbons “cook.” Mitchell, now 92, discovered how to get the gas in the “kitchen,” the shale rock, to flow up and out through a well. Others honed the process, massive U.S. shale rock formations have been identified, and the rest is history…or probably will be.

Here is a past econlife post that also connects innovation to natural gas.

The Economic Lesson

With coal environmentally problematic and foreign petroleum dependency undesirable, the opportunity cost of acquiring energy in the U.S. is becoming unacceptably high.

Just like with pistachio nuts, when you have a high opportunity cost for your current energy sources, you look for alternatives. Or, as with natural gas, you innovate until you create a lower opportunity cost.

An Economic Question: Starting with questions about techniques used to access natural gas, an environmental opportunity cost has been cited. Looking at the 8 page Bloomberg Business Week article and this MIT study, how would you assess the cost and benefit of shale sourced natural gas?

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