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Tag Archives: financial innovation

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In Boca Raton, Florida, during the early 1990s, a group of JP Morgan bankers gathered for an “offsite” weekend. Have some fun, get some sun, do some brainstorming. They had hoped to create a new product.

And they did.

Their new product involved selling the risk that a bond might default. For example, if JP Morgan owned an Italian bond, it could pay an investor to take over the risk that Italy would default. No default? Then JP Morgan pays the investor a fee. Default? Then the investor pays JP Morgan. As one journalist said, “…it was a win-win deal: JP Morgan reduced its risk, and the investors could earn nice returns.” They called it a “first to default” swap.

Just like silly putty, the aircast or the Model-T, in finance also, someone has an idea that becomes a product. At one time, the junk bond, the money market fund, checking accounts, futures options, hedge funds and adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) were all innovations. We could go on and on. Someone invented each new financial product.

And that takes me back to JP Morgan–now JPMorgan Chase. Reporting the bank’s unexpected investment losses, yesterday, the Washington Post indicated heavy investments in an index of credit default swaps (descendants of those “first to default swaps) might have been related.

Our Bottom Line: Especially with the controversy surrounding complex financial products, we should remember that financial innovation can fuel economic growth when it moves money and credit productively.

For more about that JP Morgan Florida weekend, the evolution of credit default swaps and the source of my quote, this FT article by Gillian Tett is excellent. And, for more about financial innovation, you might want to look at this Brookings article.

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Let’s not look at CDOs, SIVs, ARMs, TIPs or ATMs. Nor do we need specifically to consider credit default swaps, securitization, hedge funds or venture capital. Instead, we can go to the question that Robert Litan asks at the end of his 47 page Brookings paper on financial regulation:

“What deserves preemptive screening?”

During the past century our government has decided which products need screening before entering the market and those that will receive regulatory oversight only after a problem is identified.  Pharmaceutical innovation is the perfect example of prior approval. By contrast, car, train, and plane makers regularly implement progress without a regulator’s restraint.  Only when they have a problem have government regulators intervened.The question we now face is how to regulate financial innovation? Before or after?

In his paper, Litan expresses concern that prior restraint of new financial products could retard the progress that has fueled GDP growth, created convenience, and facilitated monetary distribution. With cost/benefit analysis of an array of new financial products from the past three decades, he illustrates the good, the bad, and the so/so. Disagreeing with the Volcker Rule, Litan then asks if the cost will be too great if innovation is constrained by prior approval. 

Your opinion?

The Economic Lesson

For every decision, there are costs and benefits. Defining cost as sacrifice, economists encourage all of us to assess cost and benefit when making a decision–to say, ”On the one hand…but then on the other….”  For that reason, Harry Truman once asked for a one-handed economist.    

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Instead of a garage or a laboratory, think of an office or a conference room. And, rather than a computer or an aircast, imagine a junk bond or a bank account.  All of these products, at one time were invented.  

In a recent Brookings article,  Robert Litan discusses the products created by financial innovation. His purpose, which we will look at tomorrow, was to reply to Paul Volcker’s negative view of recent financial innovation.  For now, let’s just identify a variety of relatively new financial products (inventions). 

Grouping the new products into the financial function that they affected, Litan includes the following: 

Payments:  ATMs, credit card expansion, debit cards

Saving: money market funds, indexed mutual funds, hedge funds

Investment: ARMs, home equity lines of credit, collateralized debt obligations

Risk-Bearing: futures options, credit default swaps

The Economic Lesson

Imagine a convex line on a graph with goods as the Y-axis and services as the X-axis. Then, because someone invents something–maybe the computer–the line moves outward because that society is able to produce more. The “rounded outward” line is called a production possibilities frontier. It displays maximum productive capability.  With innovation, productive potential typically increases. 

 

 

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