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Tag Archives: government shutdown

The Congress and the Deficit

There are so many budget issues. How to remember them? You might think of 3 and 8.

3 decisions:

1) The shutdown: There might be a partial government shutdown on Friday, April 8, because Congress cannot agree on the 2011 budget. So far, where necessary, short-term measures called Continuing Resolutions (CRs) have authorized 2011 spending.

2) The debt ceiling: May 16 is now the estimated date on which the U.S. will reach its legal debt limit. While the Treasury says that “extraordinary measures” can be taken to extend the limit to July, still the Congress has to act to avoid default. This brief article from the Concord Coalition ideally explains the debt ceiling issue.

3) 2012 budget: And finally, there is President Obama’s 2012 budget proposal that has to be considered. This Washington Post interactive provides an overview of the federal budget process.

8 categories: Congress’s 3 decisions primarily involve debating 8 categories (from the “Battle of the Budgets,” the WSJ (4/6, p. A7).

1) Medicare, 2) Medicaid, 3) Social Security, 4) Defense Spending, 5) Non-defense Discretionary Spending, 6) Farm Subsidies, 7) Corporate Taxation, 8) Individual Taxation

The Economic Lesson

Described in John Steele Gordon’s Hamilton’s Blessing (pp. 22-25), one of the Congress’s first tasks, in 1789, was to generate revenue. The primary source, they decided, would be import duties. Meanwhile, a secondary stream of money would come from excise taxes on everyday goods ranging from carriages (which targeted the rich) to salt, which touched everyone, and whiskey (which led to the Whiskey Rebellion in 1794). Not until the First World War did the income tax become a major source of government funding.

Meanwhile, on the other side of the ledger, John Steele Gordon tells us that in 1792, outlays were so massive that the budget deficit was 38% of revenues. Then, “except for periods of …crisis, the government would never again run up so large an annual deficit in terms of a percentage of total revenues…until 1992.” (p. 6)

 

 

 

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Our story begins on October 1, 2010. With a fiscal year that starts on October 1 and ends on September 30, the first day in October is crucial. Because the President and the Congress had not yet agreed on the 2011 budget, in some way, they had to approve appropriations for agencies that get yearly funding.

Why can’t agencies just keep spending until they get their appropriations? Article I, Section 9 of the Constitution is one reason. “No Money shall be drawn from the Treasury, but in Consequence of Appropriations made by Law.” Furthermore, Congress passed the Antideficiency Act that confirms the impact of a funding gap. Nonessential government activities have to stop.

There is a temporary solution called a Continuing Resolution (CR) which perpetuates funding until a new CR, a specific funding act, or the budget is passed. The problem is that the existing CR expires March 4th. Currently, we have neither a budget agreement nor a new CR. This 10 page Congressional Research paper provides a clear explanation.

What is nonessential? How are we affected by a shutdown?

More tomorrow.

The Economic Lesson

The budget process formally starts when the President submits a budget to Congress. The process for the 2011 budget began during February 2010 when President Obama sent his 2011 budget to the Congress.  You can look at this Washington Post interactive for an overview of the budget process.

Between 1977 and 2010, there were 17 funding gaps. However, since 1993, we had only 2. The most memorable one ended in 1996 during the Clinton administration. It lasted 21 days, from December 16, 1995 to January 6, 1996.

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