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Tag Archives: license raj

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In the Indian Cola market, Coke is #3, Pepsi is #2 and Thums Up is #1.

Thums Up?

More orangy and fizzy than Coke, Thums Up was created by local businessmen when Coke left India in 1977.  Coke exited with Pepsi because a new law mandated that they would have to give up 60% ownership to local firms. Also, Coke probably did not want to share its secret formula with a new partner.

Fast forward to the 1990s when India was more welcoming to multinationals. Hoping to re-establish market share, Coca-Cola bought Thums Up and has never been able to surpass its popularity with Coke.

Talking about India, The Economist conveys its contrasts. #4 among the 15 largest retail grocery and food markets when looking at total revenue, India is at the bottom at $324 for annual per capita food spending. (France, at $4740 is at the top.) This takes us to the challenge that a retailer like Coke has when straddling India’s 3-tiered market: the top has European and American tastes, the middle is beginning to demand worldwide brands and the bottom has minimal purchasing power.

For articles about Thums Up, FT and the economic times provide considerable information while The Economist has a lengthy description of the challenges facing retailers Procter & Gamble and Unilever in India. For the ad my source was here and my grocery and food revenue facts came from here. Also, looking at jute, econlife focuses on India’s license raj but the same ideas relate to Coca-Cola’s departure.

 

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India has a jute shortage that will affect a lot more than bags.

Our story began decades ago with India’s “license raj,” a bureaucratic reign (raj) that followed the British colonial raj. What to produce, who to hire, how much to pay, when to fire, you needed a license. While much of the license raj has been replaced by more of a market system, still, some of its remnants remain.

And that takes us to jute.

During the 1980s, the Indian government mandated that 100% of the wheat crop be packed in Indian-made jute bags. 250,000 factory workers make jute products and 5 million Indian farmers grow jute. The goal was Indian wheat, Indian jute, lots of production and lots of jobs.

The problem though, is that increases in wheat output have far exceeded jute production since 1990. By law, plastic bags can be used for 20% of the harvest in an emergency but no more. The rest has to be in jute. But there aren’t enough jute bags and packers add that some tear too easily.

You can see where we are going. With monsoon season starting, and a warehouse shortage also a problem, the wheat is going to spoil.

At #132 out of 183 nations in the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business Index, India is still constrained by bureaucracy.

After reading about the jute bag shortage in WSJ.com, I went back to Timothy Taylor’s Teaching Company lecture on the license raj. His superb 36 lecture “America and the New Global Economy” course is a wonderful “listen” because of the stories he includes.

 

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