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Tag Archives: OECD

GDP...16843_5.2_9209625-gdp

Having just come across the “Better Life Index,” I started thinking about Ed Koch, a former mayor of NYC who often asked everyone, “How am I doing?” Here are some thoughts about how to measure how well we are doing.

The GDP:

Frequently condemned as a measure of well-being, the GDP is the value of the goods and services produced in a country during one year. As a dollar amount, some scholars say it ignores too many variables to be a valid measure of economic health and wealth. One gentleman, though, from the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, says ”Hooray for the GDP.”

Here is a brief summary of his arguments from an excellent Timothy Taylor Conversable Economist blog post:

  1. A growing GDP makes it easier to improve our welfare.
  2. We should consider economic growth and income equality separately.
  3. If happiness is a societal goal, we should note that we get pleasure from many contemporary goods and services.
  4. Thinking of environmental damage, we should support GDP growth for the foreseeable future and debate its very long-term impact.
  5. If we had to select one statistic to measure how we are doing, then GDP is a valid choice.

The “Better Life Index:”

In a wonderful interactive exercise, the OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) has presented a “Better Life Index.” At their website, you can weight their variables according to how you believe national well-being should be assessed and then see where the US and other countries rank. It is fun.

Below is the OECD illustration of countries’ ranks when all variables are equally weighted. These are the variables: housing, income, jobs, community, education, environment, civic engagement, health, life satisfaction, safety, work-life balance.

Our Bottom Line: What we measure tends to determine what our fiscal policies will target. Indeed, the yardstick we use to answer, “How are we doing,” influences what our politicians do.

Ranking National Well-Being

Sources and Resources: Here, you can manipulate the “Better Life Index,” see how national rankings change, and decide whether it could work as a well-being yardstick. On the other hand, here is the “Hooray for the GDP” essay with persuasive arguments that support the GDP and its summary at the Conversable Economist. Finally, for some GDP history that explains the decisions behind its components, here is an excellent video from Annenberg/CPB’s Economics USA series.

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Tax Revenue

Talking about taxes, economists like to quote Louis XIV’s finance minister: “The art of taxation consists of so plucking the goose as to obtain the largest amount of feathers with the least possible amount of hissing.”

We have been hearing a lot of “hissing” about France’s 75% tax hike proposal. News articles tell us that business executives are planning to leave France because of high taxes. And yes, looking at other countries, France’s taxes are high. The new 75% rate would move France to the top of a list of high income tax countries that currently is led by Sweden, Japan, the UK and Germany.

A progressive tax, the 75% rate reflects an approach through which those who earn more pay a higher rate than people who earn less. For France and most other countries, the top rate is marginal. It just applies to a slice of income at the top of what an individual earns.

In France, currently, if you earn €100,000, then…

  • The first €5963 of your paycheck has a 0% income tax.
  • The next layer of earnings between €5964 – €11,896 is taxed at 5.5%.
  • Then, for the slice that is between €11,897 – €26,420, 14%.
  • And, for earnings between €26,421 and €70,830, 30%.
  • Finally, everything above €70,830 has a 41% rate.

 

Now, the new law would mean that on the amount you earn above €1,000,000, you give back 75% to the government.

This table from the NY Times provides a specific example:

A French Millionaire’s Taxes: With and Without the 75% Proposed Rate

A family with 2 children

Current Tax Law

(In euros)

Proposed Tax Law

(in euros)

Gross Salary

2,224,694

2,224,694

Income Taxes

-837,242

-1,137,383

Employee Social Taxes

-289,210

-289,210

Take-home pay after taxes

1,098,242

798,101

Source: NY Times

The income tax is not France’s only tax. People also pay social taxes that relate primarily to healthcare, retirement and unemployment and a value added tax (sort of the equivalent of a sales tax) of 19.6%.

France’s tax approach represents considerable income redistribution from those who earn it to those who spend it for medical reasons, as old age pensions and when they are unemployed. Looking at income redistribution (below), you can see that France is among those countries with more equality.

Equality Among Selected Countries For Disposable Income: Ranking From First (most equal) to Fifth (least equal)

#1

The Most Equal

#2

Almost as Equal

#3

Less Equal

#4

Even Less Equal

#5

The Least Equal

Denmark

Iceland

Norway

Sweden

Switzerland

Belgium

Czech Republic

Estonia

Finland

France

Italy

Slovak Republic

Slovenia

Austria

Germany

Greece

Hungary

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Poland

Spain

Australia

Canada

Ireland

Netherlands

New Zealand

UK

Chile

Israel

Mexico

Portugal

Turkey

USA

Source: OECD

France’s President Hollande says his tax proposal is all about social justice. Disagreeing, others believe that the income redistribution he proposes will further diminish France’s stagnant economic growth, worsen its fiscal slide, and thereby harm social welfare.

Your opinion?

And finally, nearby states seem to delight when their neighbors raise taxes. Belgian business people are smiling as French inquiries about home purchases and business investment increase. (Similarly, when Illinois raised taxes, Wisconsin said, “Come here!”)

News stories about the 75% proposal and the facts I cite are here and here. You might also want to look at this OECD paper on income inequality. My information on French tax  rates came from here.

Please note this post was slightly edited after it first appeared.

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Who makes dinner in your home? Walks the dog? Goes to the supermarket?

A study from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) compared unpaid work in 29 countries. Predictably, they concluded that women do a lot more than men.

But, where do men do the most? Denmark. The least? India. Specifically, in Denmark, women devote an hour more per day to “household jobs.” In India, the difference is 5 hours.

The 30 page study, “Cooking, Caring and Volunteering: Unpaid Work Around the World,” focused on 1998-2009. The paper presents fascinating facts comparing division of labor at home between women and men (women cook more while men do the gardening). Totally, people average 3.4 hours per 24-hour day on unpaid work. They also found that when women do more paid work, men’s household tasks increase.

The Economic Lesson

An important source of productive activity, household work is excluded from GDP calculations. People who believe it should be excluded point out that quantifying the value of work at home is difficult because the market has not priced it. Those who disagree say it is too massive a part of production to ignore.

With which group do you agree?

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Dating back to the 18th century, the Chinese vase that a brother and sister found “in a dusty attic” sold for $69.5 million at a London auction. The NY Times called it a “treasure-in-the-attic” story. For us economists, it is a VAT story.

According to the OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) the U.K.’s value-added tax rate is 17.5%. Typically, taxing “value added” means a tax is added to each stage of production. But, for this 16 inch, mostly yellow and sky-blue vase that was probably fired near Shanghai, the only value-added stage was the auction. With the VAT, the price of $69.5 million became $81.7 million. (I am not sure why the NY Times says that with the VAT and a 20% buyer’s premium, the final price was $85.9 million.)

If the same vase had been sold in NYC to a local resident, maybe an 8.875% sales tax would have applied. On the sell side, perhaps the IRS personal income tax obligation would soar.

You can see where this is going. Depending on where you are, because tax systems vary, so too do incentives. A VAT, as a consumption tax, is supposed to encourage saving. With the deficit commission proposing a vastly simplified tax system, we might see incentives change in the U.S.

The Economic Lesson

The OECD tells us that VAT revenue for close to 150 countries is approximately 20% of their total receipts. The United States is the exception. In the U.S., for FY 2009, the personal income tax generated 44% of all tax revenue while social insurance taxes accounted for 42%. Corporate income taxes were a distant third at 7%.

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The new vending machine at a Mason, Ohio high school only sells carrots. At 50 cents a bag, “they are selling like hotcakes”. Is it because the baby carrot video ads are amazing or that no other vending machine works during school hours?

This takes me to two recent papers:

1)In a new report described by The Economist, among the 33 OECD countries, approximately 16% of all adults are obese and 50% are overweight. For the U.S. and Mexico, however, the obesity number balloons to 33%. Correspondingly, health care spending on obese people is 25% more than on people who are not overweight.

2) The “Heavy Burden” report from George Washington University tells us that being obese costs an obese woman an extra $4879 annually and an obese man, $2646.

Solutions? The OECD report says we need action from government, private industry, and physician counseling. New U.S. health care regulation includes posting calorie counts. With chain restaurants already covered, the new health care regulation targets movie theaters, food courts, and airplanes for posting calorie counts. (But not carrots in vending machines.)

The Economic Lesson

An externality is the impact of a behavior or contract that is experienced by a third uninvolved party. When the impact on third parties is undesirable, we call the result a negative externality.

We could say that burgeoning obesity rates are a negative externality. For example, urban transit improves. The result? Taking the bus or train, we experience the negative externality of burning fewer calories than we would burn when walking to work.

A benevolent impact on an uninvolved third party is called a positive externality. A community experiences the positive externality of flu vaccinations

 

 

 

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