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Tag Archives: paradox of thrift

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The “boomeranger” has returned. A Pew Research Survey found that 13% of all households are composed of parents with adult children who moved away and then returned home. Pew’s respondents say the economy was the reason these “boomerangers” moved back.

Living with your parents after college means saving lots of money. No rent, no bed or bedding, no refrigerator to stock, no mop or vacuum cleaner. You can save until economic prosperity returns.

And therein lies the problem. With college grads buying less, they are constraining the economic recovery that will enable them to start their own households.

The Economic Lesson

Sometimes what is good for the individual is bad for the group, the community, or the country.

  • If there is a fire in a crowded movie theater, one person, alone, can successfully exit. However, if everyone dashes for the door, getting out is much more difficult.
  • If one farmer sells a bountiful crop, his profits rise. But, when all farmers flood the market, they make less money.

Similarly…

Called the Paradox of Thrift by economist John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946), it is financially beneficial for the individual to be frugal but disastrous for the community. If everyone saves, national demand plummets. This researcher disagrees.

An Economic Question: How might opportunity cost explain fewer new households during a recession and more when the economy is booming?

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What are people saying about austerity, the 2010 word of the year?

According to Dr. Econ at the San Francisco Federal Reserve, households are demonstrating austerity by saving more and borrowing less. On the one hand, living within our means is good. But on the other, called the paradox of thrift, when everyone spends less, the economy tends to contract.

Characterized by small businesses borrowing less, banks lending less, and multinationals hiring abroad rather than at home, austerity helped businesses buoy profits. On the other hand, though, we need the Keynesian “animal spirits”  that are starting to surface for economic growth and less joblessness.

Finally, just mention government borrowing and the word austerity pops up. Greece needs to cut back. Ireland needs to cut back. German austerity should be copied. As for the U.S., though, austerity was synonymous with debate. On the one hand, continuing to increase the deficit can mean unmanageable debt and future inflation. But on the other hand, cutting back too much, too soon, could reverse our economic recovery.

The Economic Lesson

Our last economic lesson of 2010 returns us to Harry Truman saying, “Give me a one-handed economist. All my economists say, “On the one hand…on the other…”

 

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