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Tag Archives: WTO

In China, a Big Mac costs close to the equivalent of $2.44. That same burger in the US is $4.20. The basic idea is PPP, purchasing power parity. The dollar can buy more when the yuan is undervalued. And President Obama and Governor Romney have both indicated that an undervalued yuan displeases them.

Actually, they probably would not mind if price fluctuated naturally in foreign currency markets. Instead though, they say currency manipulation might be occurring because a government is intentionally, over a long time period, affecting the demand for and/or supply of its money. And by impacting demand and/or supply, they are shaping its price.

China, though, is not the only one. We could add to the list, Denmark, Hong Kong, Israel, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, Switzerland, Argentina, Bolivia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, Angola, Algeria, Libya, Saudi Arabia, Azerbaijan, Russia. Some overvalue and others undervalue. But all, according to the Peterson Institute, are engaging in “currency manipulation.”

Finally though, I wonder whether currency “manipulation” is necessarily bad. One position says, “Yes.” An undervalued foreign currency lowers US demand for US made goods and destroys US jobs. The other side says that consumers and businesses that purchase Chinese goods benefit from their artificially low prices. Because consumers have extra money to spend elsewhere, jobs are created. In addition, businesses that buy Chinese metals and motors, for example, have lower costs.

Sources and Resources: To check out the PPP of other currencies, you might enjoy the Big Mac Index and also an econlife PPP explanation. For all the detail you could ever want about currency manipulation from many viewpoints, this Peterson Institute paper, this Treasury Department report and this Mark Perry blog are ideal complements.

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Can you convince a Lubbock, Texas cotton farmer (or his Congressman) to forgo his (maybe $150,000) cotton subsidy? Probably not. After all, these U.S. government payments let him profitably compete in world markets.

Correspondingly, would China say yes to a tariff free supply chain for the iPhone? Doubtful. After all, multinationals are providing a steady government revenue stream.

Through the Doha (Qatar) Round of talks, 153 countries are negotiating hundreds of trade-related issues. The sponsor, the World Trade Organization (WTO), is concerned that the Doha Round could fail.

So, instead of trying to get the US to eliminate payments to US farmers or to ask China to agree to lower tariffs, Plan B has been proposed. The new focus involves a basic trade infrastructure that includes road building in developing nations and sanitary standards.

The Economic Lesson

As Professor Timothy Taylor tells us, the World Trade Organization (previously known as GATT), has been immensely successful in lowering trade barriers. Since 1948, through 8 rounds of trade talks, they gradually achieved their goals.

Now though, the Doha Round of talks has met resistance. Scheduled to conclude no later than January 1, 2005 and still continuing, the Doha goal of reducing agricultural tariffs and subsidies has been unsuccessful.

What to do when you no longer have “low hanging fruit?” Look for different trees.

An Economic Question: With “encourage comparative advantage and world trade” located at one side of a scale and “protect home industry” as the other end, what do you prefer?

 

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